Single-Family Home Starts Projected To Rise

Single-family home
Rising single-family home start projections could be good news for home buyers.

The housing market is showing signs of a shift in 2024, with experts predicting a modest rise in single-family home construction. While the market faced headwinds in 2022 and 2023 due to rising interest rates, a combination of factors is expected to lead to a gradual increase in new home starts this year. We take a deeper dive into this below.

Reasons for the projected increase in single-family home starts

  • Moderating Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is anticipated to slow down interest rate hikes in the latter half of 2024, making mortgages slightly more affordable for potential buyers. This could incentivize some individuals and families who were waiting on the sidelines to finally enter the market.
  • Builder Optimism: Despite challenges like material and labor shortages, builders remain optimistic about the year ahead. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) predicts a 4.7% increase in single-family home starts, reaching an annual rate of 988,000 units.
  • Persistent Demand: While the market may have cooled down from the scorching pace of recent years, underlying demand for housing remains strong. Millennials, a large demographic segment, are entering prime homeownership age, and their desire for homeownership continues to fuel market activity.

Projections and challenges for single-family home starts

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) forecasts a 4.7% increase in single-family home starts in 2024, reaching an annual rate of approximately 988,000 units. While this is a positive sign, it’s important to note that the industry still faces challenges, including:

  • Supply Chain Issues: Shortages of lumber, other building materials, and skilled labor could continue to hamper construction and potentially drive up costs.
  • Affordability Concerns: Even with moderating interest rates, housing affordability remains a concern for many potential buyers, especially considering rising construction costs.


Overall, the projected rise in single-family home starts in 2024 is a positive development for the housing market. However, it’s crucial to stay informed about the ongoing challenges that could impact affordability and construction timelines.

As always, it is important to consult with your local and knowledgeable real estate agent for your respective market. Are you looking to buy or sell in the South Florida area? Contact Natasha at Live South Florida Realty, Inc. today! Also, don’t forget to download the free Florida Home Search app for your smartphone or tablet!

By natasha moore

REALTOR® with Live South Florida Realty, Inc.